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  #21  
Old October 4th, 2016, 05:35 PM
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I just hope it's not another Irene for VT again.
I was thinking about that. That was brutal around Woodstock.
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  #22  
Old October 4th, 2016, 05:45 PM
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and they haven't talked about convergence of Matthew and Nicole yet. The wedding of the decade.

So not too bad for Baltimore area? Just a tropical storm?
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  #23  
Old October 5th, 2016, 12:03 AM
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One of my favorites

https://www.windytv.com/?19.793,-74.257,7
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  #24  
Old October 5th, 2016, 09:51 AM
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new models show Matthew turning to see around SC! Mid-Atlantic dodged a bullet!
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  #25  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:01 AM
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Originally Posted by Overlander View Post
new models show Matthew turning to see around SC! Mid-Atlantic dodged a bullet!
Key term being model. Nothing dodged yet.

My email is full of emails from shipping lines about vessel course changes. Basically if a roro ship is in an East coast port they are staying put. If @ sea they are changing course to avoid the storm. Roro ships don't do well in cyclones due to the extreme amount of freeboard (tall sides effected by wind and waves), LLoyds and other insurers require that they do everything possible to avoid named storms.
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  #26  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:03 AM
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Tyler got "called up" to work ships in the port of Newport News.
Forecast shows a glancing blow instead of direct hit... hope it's accurate.
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  #27  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:10 AM
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Originally Posted by dave_lucas View Post
Wow- thats very cool in that it shows the rain pattern. Wonder what the dead spot off Brunswick Ga
is ? Small area of high pressure ?
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  #28  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:13 AM
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Direct hits are not always the worst. Granted Sandy was a storm in a class by herself in south jersey. It was high tide and the eye of the storm went directly over the southern barrier islands. Towns to the north got hit harder. Granted dunes and lack of dunes played a part as well as the high tides.

I'm no expert just a small observation.
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  #29  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:16 AM
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Have weather channel on as I work this morning.

They are closing the interstate into Charleston to East bound traffic later today and all lanes will run West bound for folks to evacuate.
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  #30  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:27 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uncle Douglas View Post
Key term being model. Nothing dodged yet.

My email is full of emails from shipping lines about vessel course changes. Basically if a roro ship is in an East coast port they are staying put. If @ sea they are changing course to avoid the storm. Roro ships don't do well in cyclones due to the extreme amount of freeboard (tall sides effected by wind and waves), LLoyds and other insurers require that they do everything possible to avoid named storms.
good point. Matthew is still on target as a buzz saw from Miami all the way up the coast to SC and OBX. I'm just glad it's projected to stay on the coast and hoping I don't get completely rained out again at expo. Hurricanes that don't make the turn and come ashore in Charleston end up in Charlotte.


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  #31  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:34 AM
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Originally Posted by FlyersFan76 View Post
Direct hits are not always the worst. Granted Sandy was a storm in a class by herself in south jersey. It was high tide and the eye of the storm went directly over the southern barrier islands. Towns to the north got hit harder. Granted dunes and lack of dunes played a part as well as the high tides.

I'm no expert just a small observation.
When down in the Florida Keys for a couple weeks doing some sail fishing years ago I came across
a memorial on Islamorada to the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane. It was the strongest hurricane to ever hit the US. The storm came ashore as a category 5 and the storm surge was 20 feet. If you have ever been to the Florida keys you know the only things 20 ft up from mean high tide line is palm tree tops. For those interested
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1935_Labor_Day_hurricane

Thank god for the technology that lets us know and prepare for these storms. As a kid I saw first hand the devastation hurricane Camile (also a cat 5) did in the mountains of Virginia in 1969. No one knew it was coming here in the mountains-113 people were killed + 35 never found, by landslides and flash floods.
Hurricane Camille (August 1969)
Camile made landfall on the Gulf coast of Alabama, who would have dreamed it would kill over 100 people hundreds of miles inland in the mountains of Virginia ?
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  #32  
Old October 5th, 2016, 10:41 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uncle Douglas View Post
LLoyds and other insurers require that they do everything possible to avoid named storms.
yep... I do everything possible to avoid named storms, too.....

Quote:
Originally Posted by Uncle Douglas View Post
Thank god for the technology that lets us know and prepare for these storms. As a kid I saw first hand the devastation hurricane Camile (also a cat 5) did in the mountains of Virginia in 1969. No one knew it was coming here in the mountains-113 people were killed by landslides and flash floods.
Hurricane Camille (August 1969)
Camile made landfall on the Gulf coast of Alabama, who would have dreamed it would kill over 100 people hundreds of miles inland in the mountains of Virginia ?
I was a little kid in the West End of Richmond.
Dad took us out after the fact in his Jeep to see all the flood damage.
I dont remember as much of that one as I do Agnes. She really flooded Richmond.


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  #33  
Old October 5th, 2016, 11:06 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uncle Douglas View Post
Key term being model. Nothing dodged yet.

My email is full of emails from shipping lines about vessel course changes. Basically if a roro ship is in an East coast port they are staying put. If @ sea they are changing course to avoid the storm. Roro ships don't do well in cyclones due to the extreme amount of freeboard (tall sides effected by wind and waves), LLoyds and other insurers require that they do everything possible to avoid named storms.
Take a look at any of the many ship location sites and you'll see empty sea in front of Matthew. Look at all the ships to the west of where he just was!

https://www.vesselfinder.com/
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  #34  
Old October 5th, 2016, 11:26 AM
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Looks like we are in for much more than a glancing blow here. I am on the on the East Coast of Fla just above Palm Beach. Hopefully the western part of the storm will stay off shore as that is where the higher winds and rain are. Not good news.
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  #35  
Old October 5th, 2016, 11:45 AM
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Originally Posted by Daddymow View Post
Looks like we are in for much more than a glancing blow here. I am on the on the East Coast of Fla just above Palm Beach. Hopefully the western part of the storm will stay off shore as that is where the higher winds and rain are. Not good news.
Be Safe. My wife has family in Ft. Myers, and I have some old friends in Flagler Beach, hope everyone stays safe..
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  #36  
Old October 5th, 2016, 12:12 PM
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Originally Posted by Uncle Douglas View Post
Have weather channel on as I work this morning.

They are closing the interstate into Charleston to East bound traffic later today and all lanes will run West bound for folks to evacuate.


My parents are on Fripp Island and under mandatory evacuation. They're packing up.
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  #37  
Old October 5th, 2016, 12:27 PM
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They're sending hundreds of school busses from here down to the lowcountry. We probably won't get 1" of rain but the effects are far reaching. Hopefully it'll turn east and avoid a direct hit
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  #38  
Old October 5th, 2016, 12:41 PM
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Originally Posted by Daddymow View Post
Looks like we are in for much more than a glancing blow here. I am on the on the East Coast of Fla just above Palm Beach. Hopefully the western part of the storm will stay off shore as that is where the higher winds and rain are. Not good news.

You need to Lt Dan that M-fer.



-Jeff
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  #39  
Old October 5th, 2016, 01:10 PM
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You need to Lt Dan that M-fer.

.
I was outside this morning getting ready for Matthew-- my wife took a picture...


.
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  #40  
Old October 5th, 2016, 01:23 PM
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Potential exists for the hurricane after brush with FL to go out to sea then loop back for a second hit...
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